Population projections baseline variant - 1st January population. Population divided into age groups covering intervals of 1 year and a group of all ages. Projections beginning with 1995 and then every fifth year. Projections are based on assumptions on total fertility rate, life expectancy and migration.
Basic demographic data by itself: population projections are predictive measures which implicate that if the hypothetical projection calculation premises are correct, what projected population size and age structure would result in any future year. They are prerequisite for health care planning and predicting future health care costs, distribution etc..
Eurostat calculates projections for all MSs. Population data from Eurostat projections are available by single age and sex from 2008 (start population) to 2061 (new set of projections EUROPOP2008).
Eurostat projections may differ from national estimates due to different assumptions of fertility, mortality and migration. However, Eurostat projections are recommended because Eurostat uses the same harmonized calculation methods for all countries.
Definition of indicator
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What the indicator is meant to measure. If not unambiguous, all acceptable alternatives are to be listed in numbered preference order. The final decision on preference order/numbering is to be made by ECHIM coregroup.
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How to calculate the indicator (method, numerator, denominator, etc), in the same preference order as above if more than one alternative.
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Why the indicator is measured the chosen way (prevalence, incidence, mortality, absolute numbers etc.)? Also reasons for the preferred definition and calculation details can be included here.
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Should the indicator be stratified by e.g. age, gender, socio-economic status and area
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The type of data source; in the same preference order as above (typically either register data or HIS/HES).
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Why is this indicator important, from the public health point of view. (For example: size or dynamics of the problem/issue, evidence of the relevance of the issue in public health terms (for determinants) or evidence of intervention effectiveness (for prevention or care issues)).
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The recommended data source (e.g. Eurostat, OECD, WHO, national registers or HIS/HES, project databases etc.), in the same preference order as above; some notes on the quality and availability of the data for the indicator. Eventually, also information on the availability in coutries, as derived from the ECHIM survey.
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References to original publications, websites, EHIS-question/naire, PHP projects, etc.
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What should be done to improve and complete this sheet. Eventually, this cell should be blank.
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